Ratings Lab
Change the training window and inspect transparent against-the-spread backtests.
Open Ratings LabPOWER RATINGS
NFL power ratings
Pro Football Lab power ratings put every team on a common scoring scale, then turn those ratings into matchup projections with current market context.
Open Power RatingsGO DEEPER
Research paths
Public pages explain the work clearly; the interactive tools remain one click away.
Game simulator
Move from team-level ratings to possession-by-possession matchup scenarios.
Open game simulatorNFL overview
Connect team strength with the complete weekly football outlook.
Open NFL overviewMethodology
See how historical information is prepared, tested, and kept in time order.
Read the methodologyIN CONTEXT
A team-level view of strength and scoring
Power ratings place offenses and defenses on a comparable point scale so that team strength can be translated into a matchup forecast. Home-field advantage and current team circumstances matter when ratings become projected scores; the displayed number is not a guarantee of the final margin.
The public ratings page connects team rankings, future game projections, and historical evaluation. For a different lens, the play-by-play simulator models possessions and game flow. Comparing the two can reveal where a broad team rating and a specific game script tell different stories.
PRO FOOTBALL LAB
The week starts here.
Move directly into the current weekly guidance, game scripts, player analysis, and interactive Lab tools.